Virologica Sinica
○ Elsevier BV
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Virologica Sinica's content profile, based on 10 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Warner, B. E.; Patel, J.; Satterwhite, R.; Wang, R.; Adams-Haduch, J.; Koh, W.-P.; Yuan, J.-M.; Shair, K. H. Y.
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PurposeAntibodies to Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) proteins can predict nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) risk. We previously defined a prototype EBNA1 protein panel and multiplex immunoblot assay that distinguishes NPC risk several years pre-diagnosis. Assay throughput and specificity are critical to effectively implement a population-level screening program. Here, we developed a strip test assay - EBNA1 SeroStrip-HT - with an objective to increase throughput and maximize specificity. Experimental DesignEBNA1 full-length (FL) and glycine-alanine repeat deletion mutants (dGAr) were purified from insect and mammalian cells to screen serum IgA/IgG from prospective cohorts in Singapore and Shanghai, China, with known time intervals to NPC diagnosis. Twenty pre-diagnostic sera within 4 years to diagnosis were compared to 96 healthy controls using a nested case-control study design. ResultsIgA to mammalian-derived EBNA1 dGAr achieved 85.0% sensitivity and 94.8% specificity (AUC, 0.939) for NPC status. IgA to insect-derived EBNA1 dGAr showed the same sensitivity (85.0%) and similar specificity (93.8%) (AUC, 0.941). IgA to insect-derived EBNA1 FL had a higher 90% sensitivity, but lower 91.7% specificity (AUC, 0.940). Combining EBNA1 FL and dGAr results showed that subjects positive for both proteins had a 243.67 odds ratio for NPC incidence compared to double-negative scores. ConclusionThis study demonstrated the efficacy of EBNA1 SeroStrip-HT for NPC risk assessment and stratification in high- and intermediate-risk populations, yielding high accuracy and a 12-fold increased throughput over the prototype. The insect system was appropriate for large-scale production of purified EBNA1. Larger, geographically diverse cohorts are warranted to confirm these results, especially in low-incidence populations.
Frederick, C.; Merritt, S.; Halbrook, M.; Mukadi, P.; Anta, Y.; Kompany-Kisenzele, J. P.; Tambu, M.; Makangara-Cigolo, J.-C.; Hasivirwe Vakaniaki, E.; Kenye, M.; Lunyanga, L.; Kacita, C.; Kalonji, T.; Kinanga, C.; Linsuke, S.; Hensley, L. E.; Bogoch, I. I.; Shaw, S. Y.; Hoff, N. A.; Mbala-Kingebeni, P.; Rimoin, A. W.; Kindrachuk, J.
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Mpox virus (MPXV) gained increased attention following the declaration of two Public Health Emergencies of International Concern (PHEICs) in 2022 and 2024. The rapid spread of MPXV and the increase in human-to-human transmission highlighted the need for improved diagnostic tools for characterizing infection patterns and transmission dynamics. While PCR is effective for detecting active infections, serological approaches can help identify previous or asymptomatic infections and support retrospective surveillance. However, many serological assays developed during recent outbreaks have not been evaluated in endemic settings such as the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). This study aims to define antigen-specific serological cutoff values to differentiate MPXV-seroreactive individuals from those with other orthopoxvirus (OPXV) exposure or different vaccination histories, specifically for use in the DRC. Here, we analyzed 134 individuals, divided into six distinct cohorts with different exposures. Serum samples were tested using Mesoscale Discovery (MSD) to screen for five MPXV and vaccinia virus (VACV) orthologous antigens: A29L/A27L, A35R/A33R, B6R/B5R, E8L/D8L, and M1R/L1R. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis identified the best-performing antigens and established seroreactivity cutoff values. A binary composite rule was also evaluated to improve the classification of these results. We identified three MPXV antigens, E8L (cut-off=12.33 AU/mL), A35R (cut-off=5.22 AU/mL), and B6R (cut-off=9.77 AU/mL), that showed the strongest discriminatory performance in the dataset. Collectively, these three antigens form a significant panel that demonstrated clear separation between our mpox survivor cohort and other OPXV-exposed individuals.
Pinto, T. F.; Santoro, A.; Oliveira, A. L. G.; Tavares, T. S.; Almeida, A.; Incardona, F.; Marchetti, G.; Cozzi-Lepri, A.; Pinto, J.; Caporali, J. F. M.
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Background: How post-COVID-19 condition (PCC) differs from post-acute infection syndromes (PAIS) caused by other respiratory viruses remains uncertain. Comparing these conditions may clarify whether post-acute symptoms reflect specific consequences of SARS-CoV-2 infection or broader post-viral mechanisms. Methods: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies comparing persistent symptoms or conditions in adults after SARS-CoV-2 infection with those following other acute respiratory viral infections. PubMed, Embase, and Scopus were searched. Random-effects models were used to estimate pooled risks. Results: Among 9,371 records screened, 22 studies were included and 14 contributed to the meta-analysis. Increased risk after SARS-CoV-2 infection was observed for pulmonary embolism, abnormal breathing, fatigue, hemorrhagic stroke, memory loss/brain fog, and palpitations; heart rate abnormalities showed borderline significance. For most other outcomes pooled estimates were inconclusive. Conclusions: Only a subset of outcomes appears more frequent after SARS-CoV-2 infection, suggesting many symptoms attributed to PCC may reflect broader post-viral syndromes.
Makdissy, N.; Makdessi, E. W.; Fenianos, F.; Nasreddine, N.; Daher, W.; El Hamoui, S.
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COVID-19 has spread rapidly and caused a global pandemic making it one of the deadliest in history. Early identification of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 who may develop critical illness is of immense importance. Therefore, novel biomarkers were needed to identify patients who will suffer rapid disease progression to severe complications and death. Many treatments were adopted including the antiviral Remdesivir, the antiretroviral Lopinavir /Ritonavir and Tocilizumab. Our study aimed not only to specify high-risk factors and biomarkers of fatal outcome in hospitalized subjects with coronavirus but also to compare the efficacy of the three considered treatments to help clinicians better choose a therapeutic strategy and reduce mortality. We divided the population (n=711) into four main groups based according to the WHO ordinal severity scale. The percentage of mortality, in and out the hospital, the length of stay in the hospital, the pulmonary inflammatory lesion and its distribution, the SARS-CoV-2 IgM and IgG variations at admission, the inflammatory markers, the complete blood count, the coagulation factors and enzymes, proteins and electrolytes profile, glucose and lipid profile, and other relevant markers were measured. The significance of the observed variation was assessed by multivariate and ANOVA analyses. We succeeded to establish a novel predictive scoring model of disease progression based on a cohort of Lebanese hospitalized patients relying on the pulmonary inflammatory lesions, inflammation biomarkers such as LDH, D-Dimer, CRP, IL-6 and the lymphocyte count, the number of comorbidities and the age of the patient which all were significantly correlated with the illness severity showing best outcomes with immunomodulatory and anticoagulant treatments by the results. As top tier, Tocilizumab was more efficient than the two other treatments in non-severe cases but none of the used treatments was insanely effective alone to reduce mortality in severe cases.
Xu, R.; Dou, H.; Zhang, M.; Liu, Z.
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Background: To investigate the safety and efficacy of CTguided lung nodule localization needles for the preoperative localization of small pulmonary nodules. Methods: A retrospective study was conducted on 102 patients with a total of 113 small pulmonary nodules who underwent preoperative localization at Jinan Fourth People's Hospital from January 2024 to December 2025. Nodule diameter and depth, localization time, the number of pleural punctures, the localization success rate, and postoperative complications (hook dislodgement, hemorrhage, and pneumothorax) were recorded. All patients underwent video assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS) after localization. Results: The mean nodule diameter was 0.97{+/-}0.36 cm, the mean depth was 1.26{+/-}0.48 cm, and the mean localization time was 9.8{+/-}3.65 minutes. The hook dislodgement rate was 0.98% (1/102), the intrapulmonary hemorrhage rate was 14.71% (15/102), and the pneumothorax rate was 16.67% (17/102). All pulmonary nodules were successfully resected by VATS at 73.82{+/-}13.83 minutes after localization, and no severe complications occurred. Conclusions: The use of a CTguided lung nodule localization needle for the preoperative localization of small pulmonary nodules decreases the time needed for intraoperative nodule detection and operation time. This strategy is a simple, safe, and accurate preoperative localization method that is worthy of increased clinical use.
Wang, L.; Yang, Y.; Ng, T. K.; Chen, J.; Sun, X.
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Purpose: To identify the ocular biometric parameters associated with refractive outcomes in Chinese Primary angle closure glaucoma (PACG) patients receiving phacoemulsification and intraocular lens (IOL) implantation (PEI) surgery. Methods: 165 Chinese PACG patients receiving PEI and goniosynechialysis (GSL) and 53 cataract patients as controls only receiving PEI surgery were recruited. The prediction accuracy of IOL power calculation was assessed by the prediction error (PE), mean absolute error (MAE), median absolute error (MedAE), and proportions of eyes with a PE within {+/-} 0.25 diopters (D), {+/-} 0.50 D, {+/-} 0.75 D, and {+/-} 1.00 D. The association of different ocular biometric parameters with the PE of IOL calculation were evaluated. Results: The PACG patients had significantly higher absolute of PE as compared to the control subjects, especially the acute PACG patients. The axial length (AL), changes in aqueous depth pre- and post-surgery ({bigtriangleup}AD), and the ratio of {bigtriangleup}AD/AL were significantly associated with the PE in acute PACG patients. The association of {bigtriangleup}AD with the PE of IOL power calculation was found in PACG patients with AL [≥] 22 mm. Conclusions: This study revealed the association of AL and {bigtriangleup}AD with the PE of IOL calculation in Chinese PACG patients. Precisely predict the {bigtriangleup}AD is necessary for acute PACG patients, especially for those with AL [≥] 22 mm, to improve the refractive outcomes.
Li, Q.; Singh, A.; Hu, R.; Huang, W.; Shapiro, D. D.; Abel, E. J.; Zong, Y.
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Although several ancillary tests are available in limited laboratories, diagnosis of microphthalmia (MiT)/TFE family translocation renal cell carcinoma (tRCC) could be challenging due to diverse and overlapping tumor morphology and the lack of reliable biomarkers. GPNMB has been recently identified as a diagnostic marker for various renal neoplasms with FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations. However, the sensitivity and specificity of GPNMB immunostain are suboptimal and the result interpretation in ambiguous cases could be difficult. To search additional biomarkers that could improve the screening sensitivity and predict genetic aberrations in FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE pathway in renal tumors, we performed bioinformatic analysis of publicly available cancer databases and found GPR143, a transmembrane protein regulated by MiT transcription factors, was highly expressed in a subset of renal cell carcinomas (RCCs). In two the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) kidney cancer cohorts, RCCs with high levels of GPR143 expression were enriched for renal neoplasms with FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations. Similar to GPNMB labeling, GPR143 immunostain was positive in the majority of tRCC cases and renal tumors with FLCN/TSC/mTOR alterations, suggesting that GPR143 could function as another surrogate marker for FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations in certain renal tumors. Interestingly, despite the concordant GPR143 and GPNMB immunoreactivity in most renal neoplasms with FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations, diffuse GPR143 immunostain was observed in some cases with negative or focal GPNMB labeling. Taken together, our results indicate GPR143 could serve as a useful adjunct marker to improve the sensitivity for screening renal tumors with FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations.
Moradi Marjaneh, M.; Badhan, A.; Chai, H.; Hadfield, O.; Chen, Y.; Wang, Z.; Thomson, E. C.; Taylor, G. P.; Walker, A. S.; Ansari, M. A.; Barnes, E.; Cooke, G. S.
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Background: Ribavirin is a guanosine analogue with clinical antiviral activity against a range of RNA viruses including hepatitis C virus (HCV), respiratory syncytial virus and Lassa virus. Several potential mechanisms of action have been proposed, but there is limited data supporting them clinically. Methods: We studied 196 HCV-infected participants from a trial of short-course directly antiviral therapy (STOPHCV-1) which included a factorial randomisation to ribavirin versus no ribavirin. Deep sequencing of the HCV genome was performed on samples with detectable viremia from three time-points: baseline (n = 191), day 3 of treatment (n = 25) and post-treatment failure (n = 47). Results: Ribavirin exposure significantly increased total mutational load at treatment failure (P = 0.0065) and enriched classical ribavirin-associated transitions, including G->A (P = 0.026) and C[->]U (P = 0.004), along with other key changes including A->G (P = 0.005), U->C (P = 0.023), C->G (P = 0.010), and U->A (P = 0.026). The resulting mutational signature was broad, not dominated by G-related changes. Region-specific analyses demonstrated this increase was broadly distributed across the viral genome, without strong evidence for protection of specific regions. Non-synonymous to synonymous mutation ratios (dN/dS) rose at day 3 (P = 5.5e-5) before declining at failure (P = 8.5e-7), with trends toward higher dN/dS in the ribavirin group at day 3 (P = 0.06). Conclusions: Ribavirin acts as a potent in vivo mutagen, driving viral populations toward genome-wide diversity rather than selecting a few highly fit drug-resistant clones. These findings support an error-catastrophe model.
Yang, C.; Li, R.; Wang, X.; Li, K.; Yuan, F.; Jia, X.; Zhang, R.; Zheng, J.
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Schizophrenia (SCZ) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are common comorbid disorders that severely impair patient prognosis and quality of life. This study aimed to explore the association between the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) C677T gene polymorphism and MTHFR promoter methylation in patients with comorbid SCZ and T2DM. A total of 120 participants were enrolled from Liaocheng Fourth Peoples Hospital between January 2025 and June 2025, comprising 30 subjects in each of the four groups: SCZ group, T2DM group, SCZ-T2DM comorbid (SCZ+T2DM) group, and healthy control (CTL) group. Corresponding primers were designed for genetic analysis, and methylation-specific PCR (MSP) was performed to detect the methylation level of the MTHFR promoter. Genotype distribution of the MTHFR C677T polymorphism was consistent with Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE) (p>0.05). The C677T polymorphism was significantly associated with an elevated risk of SCZ and T2DM comorbidity (p<0.05). Notably, the methylation rate of the MTHFR promoter in the SCZ+T2DM group (95.00%) was not significantly higher than that in the CTL group (90.00%) (p>0.05). In conclusion, the MTHFR gene may serve as a susceptibility gene for SCZ-T2DM comorbidity, whereas MTHFR promoter methylation is not associated with the pathogenesis of this comorbid condition. These results indicate that genetic variation in MTHFR, rather than promoter methylation, contributes critically to the comorbidity of SCZ and T2DM in the Han Chinese population. Our findings may provide novel molecular insights into their shared pathophysiology and inform future clinical strategies for patients with this complex phenotype.
Hoskins, J. W.; Christensen, T. A.; Eiser, D.; Char, E.; Mobaraki, M.; O'Brien, A.; Collins, I.; Zhong, J.; Patel, M. B.; Prasad, G.; Pancreatic Cancer Cohort Consortium and Pancreatic Cancer Case-Control Consortium (PanScan/PanC4), ; Arda, E.; Connelly, K. E.; Amundadottir, L. T.
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Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains one of the deadliest human cancers. The current largest published PDAC Genome-Wide Association Study (GWAS) identified 23 genetic risk signals, but most lack sufficient characterization. This study aimed to functionally characterize the chr13q12.2 (PLUT/PDX1) PDAC GWAS risk locus. Fine-mapping, luciferase reporter assays, and electrophoretic mobility shift assays implicated rs9581943, a PDX1 promoter SNP, as a functional variant underlying this GWAS signal. GTEx expression QTL analyses identified rs9581943 as a significant PDX1 eQTL in pancreas, and CRISPR/Cas9 editing in PDAC-derived cell lines confirmed a functional relationship. PDX1 is a transcription factor involved in early pancreas development and {beta}-cell homeostasis, but its role in exocrine pancreatic cells is unclear. Single-nucleus RNA-seq analyses of pancreatic acinar and ductal cells from neonatal, adult, and chronic pancreatitis donors suggested PDX1 activity alleviates high secretory load and ER-stress in acinar and biases ducts toward homeostatic phenotypes. Similarly, scRNA-seq analyses of pancreatic tumors suggested PDX1 activity reduces biosynthetic and inflammatory stress and promotes epithelial differentiation. Our study therefore implicates rs9581943 as a causal variant for the chr13q12.2 PDAC GWAS signal wherein the risk allele reduces PDX1 expression, eroding PDX1's capacity to buffer stress and stabilize epithelial cell fate in the exocrine compartment.
Xu, M.; Philips, R.; Singavarapu, A.; Zheng, M.; Martin, D.; Nikolin, S.; Mutz, J.; Becker, A.; Firenze, R.; Tsai, L.-H.
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Background: Gamma oscillation dysfunction has been implicated in neuropsychiatric disorders. Restoring gamma oscillations via brain stimulation represents an emerging therapeutic approach. However, the strength of its clinical effects and treatment moderators remain unclear. Method: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to examine the clinical effects of gamma neuromodulation in neuropsychiatric disorders. A literature search for controlled trials using gamma stimulation was performed across five databases up until April 2025. Effect sizes were calculated using Hedge's g. Separate analyses using the random-effects model examined the clinical effects in schizophrenia (SZ), major depressive disorder (MDD), bipolar disorder, and autism spectrum disorder. For SZ and MDD, subgroup analyses evaluated the effects of stimulation modality, stimulation frequency, treatment duration, and pulses per session. Result: Fifty-six studies met the inclusion criteria (NSZ = 943, NMDD = 916, NBD = 175, NASD = 232). In SZ, gamma stimulation was associated with improvements in positive (k = 10, g = -0.60, p < 0.001), negative (k = 12, g = -0.37, p = 0.03), depressive (k = 8, g = -0.39, p < 0.001), anxious symptoms (k = 5, g = -0.59, p < 0.001), and overall cognitive function (k = 7, g = 0.55, p < 0.001). Stimulation frequency and treatment duration moderated therapeutic effects. In MDD, reductions in depressive symptoms were observed (k = 23, g = -0.34, p = 0.007). Conclusion: Gamma neuromodulation showed moderate therapeutic benefits in SZ and MDD. Substantial heterogeneity likely reflects protocol differences, highlighting the need for well-powered future trials.
Spann, D. J.; Hall, L. M.; Moussa-Tooks, A.; Sheffield, J. M.
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BackgroundNegative symptoms are core features of schizophrenia that relate strongly to functional impairment, yet interventions targeting these symptoms remain largely ineffective. Emerging theoretical work highlights how environmental factors may shape and maintain negative symptoms. Although racial disparities in schizophrenia diagnosis among Black Americans are well documented and linked to racial stress and psychosis, the impact of racial stress on negative symptoms has not been examined. This study provides an initial test of a novel theory proposing that racial stress - here measured by racial discrimination - influences negative symptom severity through exacerbation of negative cognitions about the self, particularly defeatist performance beliefs (DPB). Study DesignParticipants diagnosed with schizophrenia-spectrum disorder (SSD) (N = 208; 80 Black, 128 White) completed the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS), the Defeatist Beliefs Scale, and self-report measures of subjective racial and ethnic discrimination (Racial and Ethnic Minority Scale and General Ethnic Discrimination Scale). Relationships among variables were tested using linear regression and mediation analysis. Study ResultsBlack participants exhibited significantly greater total and experiential negative symptoms than White participants with no group difference in DPB. Racial discrimination explained 46% of the relationship between race and negative symptoms. Among Black participants, higher DPB were associated with greater negative symptom severity. Discrimination was positively related to both DPB and negative symptoms. DPB partially mediated the relationship between discrimination and negative symptoms. ConclusionsFindings suggest that racial stress contributes to negative symptom severity via defeatist beliefs among Black individuals, highlighting potential targets for culturally informed interventions.
Xu, J.; Parker, R. M. A.; Bowman, K.; Clayton, G. L.; Lawlor, D. A.
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Background Higher levels of sedentary behaviour, such as leisure screen time (LST), and lower levels of physical activity are associated with diseases across multiple body systems which contribute to a large global health burden. Whether these associations are causal is unclear. The primary aim of this study is to investigate the causal effects of higher LST (given greater power) and, secondarily, lower moderate-to-vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA), on a wide range of diseases in a hypothesis-free approach. Methods A two-sample Mendelian randomisation phenome-wide association study was conducted for the main analyses. Genetic single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were first selected as exposure genetic instruments for LST (hours of television watched per day; 117 SNPs) and MVPA (higher vs. lower; 18 SNPs) based on the genome-wide significant threshold (p < 5*10-8) from the largest relevant genome-wide association study (GWAS). For disease outcomes, we used summary results from FinnGen GWAS, including 1,719 diseases defined by hospital discharge International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes in 453,733 European participants. For the main analyses, we used the inverse-variance weighting method with a Bonferroni corrected p-value of p [≤] 3.47*10-4. Sensitivity analyses included Steiger filtering, MR-Egger and weighted median analyses, and data from UK Biobank were used to explore replication. Findings Genetically predicted higher LST was associated with increased risk of 87 (5.1% of the 1,719) diseases. Most of these diseases were in musculoskeletal and connective tissue (n=37), genitourinary (n=12) and respiratory (n=8) systems. Genetic liability to lower MVPA was associated with six diseases: three in musculoskeletal and connective tissue and genitourinary systems (with greater risk of these diseases also identified with higher LST), and three in respiratory and genitourinary systems. Sensitivity analyses largely supported the main analyses. Results replicated in UK Biobank, where data available. Conclusions Higher levels of sedentary behaviour, and lower levels of physical activity, causally increase the risk of diseases across multiple body systems, making them promising targets for reducing multimorbidity.
Pietilainen, O.; Salonsalmi, A.; Rahkonen, O.; Lahelma, E.; Lallukka, T.
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Objectives: Longer lifespans lead to longer time on retirement, despite the efforts to raise the retirement age. Therefore, it is important to study how the retirement years can be spent without diseases. This study examined socioeconomic and sociodemographic differences in healthy years spent on retirement. Methods: We followed a cohort of retired Finnish municipal employees (N=4231, average follow-up 15.4 years) on national administrative registers for major chronic diseases: cancer, coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, diabetes, asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, dementia, mental disorders, and alcohol-related disorders. Median healthy years on retirement and age at first occurrence of illness (ICD-10 and ATC-based) in each combination of sex, occupational class, and age of retirement were predicted using Royston-Parmar models. Prevalence rates for each diagnostic group were calculated. Results: Most healthy years on retirement were spent by women having worked in semi-professional jobs who retired at age 60-62 (median predicted healthy years 11.6, 95% CI 10.4-12.7). The least healthy years on retirement were spent by men having worked in routine non-manual jobs who retired after age 62 (median predicted healthy years 6.5, 95% CI 4.4-9.5). Diabetes was slightly more common among lower occupational class women, and dementia among manual working women having retired at age 60-62. Discussion: Healthy years on retirement are not enjoyed equally by women and men and those who retire early or later. Policies aiming to increase the retirement age should consider the effects of these gaps on retirees and the equitability of those effects.
Hung, J.; Smith, A.
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The global ambition to end the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic requires understanding which system-level policy levers, enacted under the framework of Universal Health Coverage (UHC), are most effective in achieving both transmission reduction and diagnostic coverage. This study addresses an important evidence gap by quantifying the within-country association between measurable UHC policy indicators and the estimated rate of new HIV infections across nine Southeast Asian countries between 2013 and 2022. Employing a Fixed-Effects panel data methodology, the analysis controls for time-invariant national heterogeneity, ensuring reliable estimates of policy impact. We found that marginal changes in total current health expenditure (CHE) as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) were not statistically significantly associated with changes in HIV incidence. However, increases in the UHC Infectious Disease Service Coverage Index were statistically significantly associated with concurrent reductions in HIV incidence (p < 0.001), suggesting the efficacy of targeted service implementation as the principal driver of curbing new HIV infections. In addition, the UHC Reproductive, Maternal, Newborn, and Child Health Service Coverage Index exhibited a statistically significant positive association with changes in HIV incidence (p < 0.01), which is interpreted as a vital surveillance artefact resulting from expanded detection and reporting of previously undiagnosed HIV cases. Furthermore, out-of-pocket (OOP) health expenditure as a percentage of CHE showed a counter-intuitive negative association with changes in HIV incidence (p < 0.01), suggesting this metric primarily shows ongoing indirect cost burdens on the established patient cohort, or, alternatively, presents a diagnostic access barrier that results in lower case finding. These findings suggest that policymakers should prioritise investment in targeted infectious disease service efficacy over aggregate fiscal commitment and utilise integrated sexual health platforms for strengthened HIV surveillance and case identification.
Hassan, S. S.; Nordqvist-Kleppe, S.; Asinger, N.; Wang, J.; Dillner, J.; Arroyo Muhr, L. S.
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Human papillomavirus (HPV) testing is the primary method for cervical cancer screening, and a negative HPV test is associated with a very low subsequent risk of invasive cancer. Nevertheless, a small number of cervical cancers are diagnosed following an HPV-negative testing result, posing challenges within HPV-based screening pathways. Using nationwide Swedish registry data of HPV testing, we identified women diagnosed with invasive cervical cancer between 2019 and 2024 and reconstructed HPV testing histories from the National Cervical Screening Registry (NKCx). The most recent HPV test prior to diagnosis was defined as the index test, and longitudinal HPV testing trajectories were classified among women with an HPV-negative index test. Of 3,000 women diagnosed with invasive cancer, 243 (8.1%) had an HPV-negative index test. These women were older at diagnosis and more frequently diagnosed at advanced stages compared with women with an HPV-positive index test. Most HPV-negative index tests (66.3%) were performed in the peri-diagnostic period (+/- 30 days). Among women with an HPV-negative index test, 52.7% (128/243) had no prior HPV testing recorded, while the remainder had consistently HPV-negative histories (33.3%, 83/243) or evidence of prior HPV positivity before the index negative test (14%, 32/243). Possible recurrent HPV positivity following an intervening negative test was rare (0.4%, 1/243). HPV-negative screening results preceding invasive cancer reflect heterogeneous screening histories and cannot be explained solely by test failure. Findings highlighting the importance of reaching women earlier in screening programs and show that fluctuating HPV detectability is rare.
Xiao, M.; Girard, Q.; Pender, M.; Rabezara, J. Y.; Rahary, P.; Randrianarisoa, S.; Rasambainarivo, F.; Rasolofoniaina, O.; Soarimalala, V.; Janko, M. M.; Nunn, C. L.
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PurposeAntibiotic use (ABU) is a major driver of antimicrobial resistance (AMR), but ABU patterns are poorly understood in low-income countries where the burden of AMR is great and ABU is insufficiently regulated. Here, we report ABU from ten sites ranging from rural villages to small cities in Madagascar, a country with high AMR levels, and present results from modeling to identify factors that may be associated with ABU in this setting. MethodsWe conducted surveys of 290 individuals from ten sites in the SAVA Region of northeast Madagascar to gather data on sociodemographic characteristics, agricultural and animal husbandry practices, recent antibiotic use, the antibiotics that participants recalled using in their lifetimes, and the sources of their antibiotics. Using these data, we conducted statistical analyses with a mixed-effects logistic model to determine which characteristics were associated with recent antibiotic use. ResultsNearly all respondents (N=283, 97.6%) reported ABU in their lifetimes, with amoxicillin being the most widely reported antibiotic (N=255, 90.1% of those reporting ABU). All recalled antibiotics were classified as frontline drugs except for ciprofloxacin. Most respondents who reported antibiotic use also reported obtaining antibiotics without prescriptions from local stores (N=273, 96.5%), while only 52.3% (N=148) reported obtaining antibiotics through a prescriptive route, such as from a health clinic or private doctor. Of the 127 individuals (44.9%) who reported recent ABU, men were found to be significantly less likely to have recently taken antibiotics than women. ConclusionsOur findings provide new insights into ABU in agricultural settings in low-income countries, which have historically been understudied in AMR and pharmacoepidemiologic research. Knowledge of ABU patterns supports understanding of AMR dynamics and AMR control efforts in these contexts, such as interventions on inappropriate antibiotic dispensing. Key pointsO_LIAntibiotic use (ABU) in Madagascar is largely unstudied despite its role in antimicrobial resistance (AMR), which Madagascar faces a high burden of. C_LIO_LIABU was widespread among livestock owners in northeast Madagascar, with the majority of study participants reporting ABU in their lifetimes and most people reporting ABU also having taken antibiotics in the previous three months. C_LIO_LIMost respondents reported obtaining their antibiotics from non-pharmaceutical stores, indicating high levels of unregulated ABU, though more than half also reported sourcing their antibiotics through prescriptive means (like doctors and health clinics). C_LIO_LIMen were less likely than women to have taken antibiotics in the previous three months. C_LIO_LIThese findings support the development of interventions to mitigate the burden of AMR in Madagascar and similar contexts while underscoring the need for more comprehensive research on the drivers and patterns of ABU. C_LI Plain language summaryIn this study, we provide basic information on antibiotic use (ABU) patterns in Madagascar, a country that experiences high levels of resistance but has been particularly understudied in AMR and pharmacological research. We surveyed 290 farmers with livestock from ten sites across northeast Madagascar about their ABU and found that nearly all study participants (N=283, 97.6%) have used antibiotics in their lifetimes, while a little under half of those who reported ABU also reported using antibiotics in the previous three months (N=127, 44.9%). The most used antibiotic was amoxicillin (N=255, 90.1%). Most people obtained their antibiotics from sources that do not require prescriptions, like general stores, indicating that most ABU is unregulated. Through modeling, we also found that men were less likely than women to have taken antibiotics in the previous three months (OR=0.50, CI 0.30-0.82). These findings help us better understand the dynamics of ABU in low-income countries, which have historically been understudied in AMR and pharmacological research. They also support efforts to mitigate the burden of AMR by revealing ABU dynamics that may contribute to the emergence and spread of AMR, as well as identifying targets for intervention to curb inappropriate ABU.
Shaetonhodi, N. G.; De Vos, L.; Babalola, C.; de Voux, A.; Joseph Davey, D.; Mdingi, M.; Peters, R. P. H.; Klausner, J. D.; Medina-Marino, A.
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BackgroundCurable sexually transmitted infections (STIs), including Chlamydia trachomatis, Neisseria gonorrhoeae, and Trichomonas vaginalis, remain highly prevalent among pregnant women in South Africa. Despite poor diagnostic performance in pregnancy, syndromic management remains standard care. Point-of-care (POC) screening enables aetiological diagnosis and same-visit treatment but is not yet included in national guidelines. We conducted a mixed-methods process evaluation to examine determinants of antenatal POC STI screening implementation in public facilities. MethodsThis evaluation was embedded within the three-arm Philani Ndiphile randomized trial (March 2021-February 2025) across four public clinics in the Eastern Cape. Screening used a near-POC, electricity-dependent nucleic acid amplification test with a 90-minute turnaround time. Reach, Adoption, Implementation, and Maintenance were assessed using the RE-AIM framework. Quantitative indicators included uptake of screening, treatment, and follow-up attendance. Qualitative data included in-depth interviews with 20 pregnant women and five focus group discussions with 21 research staff and government healthcare workers. The Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research guided qualitative analysis. Findings were integrated using narrative weaving. ResultsScreening uptake was high (99.0%), with treatment coverage of 95.2% at baseline and 93.5% at repeat screening. Same-day treatment was lower (50.7% and 69.8%) and varied substantially by facility, reflecting operational constraints including turnaround time, patient volume, infrastructure, and electricity. Attendance was higher when screening was integrated into routine ANC. Women valued screening for infant health, while providers recognised advantages over syndromic management but highlighted workforce, resource, and maintenance constraints. Socioeconomic factors, including transport costs, hunger, and work commitments, influenced retention and waiting. ConclusionsAntenatal POC STI screening was acceptable and achieved high treatment coverage in a research setting. However, same-day treatment was constrained by operational requirements of the testing platform. Scale-up will require workflow integration, strengthened health system capacity, and faster diagnostics suited to routine antenatal care. Key MessagesO_ST_ABSWhat is already known on this topicC_ST_ABSSyndromic management remains standard antenatal care in many low-resource settings despite failing to capture up to 89% of infections that remain asymptomatic. Point-of-care aetiological screening has demonstrated feasibility, acceptability, and potential clinical benefit in research settings, yet has not been widely adopted into national policy. Limited evidence exists on the health system requirements and contextual determinants influencing scale-up within routine public facilities. What this study addsThis mixed-methods process evaluation demonstrates high uptake and treatment coverage of antenatal POC STI screening in a trial setting, while identifying facility-level, structural, and socioeconomic factors shaping same-day treatment and retention. We show that implementation success varies substantially across clinics and depends on assay characteristics, workflow integration, human resources, infrastructure reliability, and follow-up capacity. How this study might affect research, practice or policyThese findings provide implementation-relevant evidence to inform national policy deliberations on integrating POC STI screening into antenatal care. Sustainable scale-up will require context-adapted delivery models, strengthened workforce and supply systems, faster diagnostics, and alignment with existing ANC workflows to ensure equitable and durable impact.
Areb, M.; Huybregts, L.; Tamiru, D.; Toure, M.; Biru, B.; Fall, T.; Haddis, A.; Belachew, T.
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BackgroundThis study aimed to assess caregiver knowledge of Infant and Young Child Feeding (IYCF), child health, severe acute malnutrition (SAM) screening, and Community-Based Management of Acute Malnutrition (CMAM), its determinants, and associations with IYCF/ WaSH (water, sanitation, and hygiene) practices among caregivers of children 6-59 months with SAM in Ethiopian agrarian and pastoralist settings. MethodData were from the baseline survey of the R-SWITCH Ethiopia cluster-randomized controlled trial (cRCT), which screened [~]28,000 children aged 6-59 months and identified 686 SAM cases. Caregiver knowledge was evaluated using a validated 32-item questionnaire (Cronbachs for internal reliability) and analyzed via linear mixed-effects and Poisson regression models in Stata 17. ResultsCaregiver knowledge was positively associated with improved IYCF/WaSH practices among children aged 6-23 months with SAM, including higher minimum dietary diversity (MDD: IRR=1.50), minimum acceptable diet (MAD: IRR=1.63), and reduced zero vegetable/fruit intake (IRR=0.77), as well as MDD in children aged 24-59 months, improved water access (IRR=1.19), water treatment (IRR=2.02), and handwashing stations (IRR=1.41). Literate ({beta} = 4.1; 95% CI:1.5-6.6, p= 0.016), pregnant({beta} = 4.4; 95% CI:0.9-7.8, 0.018), having child weighing at a health post/ health center ({beta} = 8.9;95% CI:3.5-14.2,p [≤] 0.001), and higher household wealth index ({beta} = 11.8;95% CI:3.6-20.1,p= 0.005) were associated with higher knowledge, while possible depression ({beta} = -0.3;95% CI: -0.5 to 0.0, p= 0.015) was associated with lower knowledge. ConclusionCaregiver knowledge determines better IYCF/WaSH practices among children aged 6-59 months with SAM. Literacy, pregnancy, having child weighing at a health post or health center, and greater household wealth were associated with caregivers knowledge, whereas possible depression was associated with lower knowledge. Integrating context-specific caregiver education and mental health support into CMAM, GMP(Growth monitoring and promotion), and primary care services could enhance feeding/WaSH practices in Ethiopia.
Heffernan, P. M.; van den Berg, H.; Yadav, R. S.; Murdock, C. C.; Rohr, J. R.
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BackgroundInsecticides remain the cornerstone of mosquito vector control for malaria, dengue, and other mosquito-borne diseases, yet global patterns of deployment and their socioeconomic and environmental drivers are poorly characterized. Understanding where and why insecticides are used is essential for better targeting control efforts and ensuring they are effective, equitable, and efficient. MethodsWe analyzed annual country-level insecticide-use data from 122 countries (1990-2019), reported as standard spray coverage for insecticide-treated nets (ITNs), residual spraying (RS), spatial spraying (SS), and larviciding (LA). Generalized linear mixed models and hurdle models quantified associations between deployment and disease incidence, human development index (HDI), human population density, temperature, and precipitation. Models were evaluated using repeated cross-validation and applied to generate downscaled predictions of insecticide use at subnational administrative region level 2 (ADM2) globally. FindingsInsecticide deployment increased with malaria and dengue incidence, but this response was substantially stronger in higher-HDI countries, indicating that deployment depends on socioeconomic capacity as well as disease burden that leads to weaker scaling in lower-resource settings. Intervention types exhibited distinct patterns; ITN use tracked malaria burden, whereas infrastructure-intensive approaches (e.g., RS and SS) were concentrated in higher-HDI settings and increased with Aedes-borne disease incidence. Downscaled ADM2-level maps uncovered substantial within-country heterogeneity that is obscured at the national scale, highlighting regions where predicted deployment remains low relative to disease risk across sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, and parts of Latin America. InterpretationGlobal insecticide deployment reflects not only epidemiological need but also economic and logistical capacity, creating mismatches between risk and control. High-resolution mapping can support more equitable allocation of interventions, guide insecticide resistance stewardship, and improve strategic planning as climate and urbanization reshape mosquito-borne disease risk.